Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.578525 0.759138 0.964786 1.213006 1.501266 1.822425 2.204209
2025-03-02 0.311638 0.520519 0.794437 1.164627 1.637036 2.205937 2.928878
2025-03-09 0.192271 0.411935 0.741534 1.231985 1.905549 2.763755 3.905264
2025-03-16 0.104512 0.304639 0.654305 1.227838 2.071470 3.201173 4.762763
2025-03-23 0.066041 0.258593 0.642611 1.322412 2.373848 3.831510 5.899359
2025-03-30 0.038332 0.213519 0.616237 1.384306 2.628606 4.407634 6.988630
2025-04-06 0.019400 0.170002 0.576187 1.412087 2.828229 4.911959 7.997381
2025-04-13 0.006924 0.123368 0.509313 1.376603 2.919417 5.259280 8.797541
2025-04-20 0.002206 0.095805 0.473643 1.389294 3.083902 5.715747 9.760325
2025-04-27 0.000420 0.074342 0.442707 1.403301 3.247312 6.172979 10.733688
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.050846 0.389613 1.358425 3.301179 6.460758 11.466802
2025-05-11 NaN 0.032793 0.338705 1.305175 3.331192 6.707586 12.141946
2025-05-18 NaN 0.022951 0.312392 1.306440 3.465003 7.130724 13.101688
2025-05-25 NaN 0.013719 0.274725 1.269714 3.522471 7.432317 13.888078
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011660 0.279903 1.348924 3.810979 8.121511 15.277304
2025-06-08 NaN 0.007342 0.258533 1.348663 3.940153 8.550127 16.277966
2025-06-15 NaN 0.006763 0.271533 1.451682 4.284363 9.347553 17.859828
2025-06-22 NaN 0.005379 0.272748 1.518846 4.557603 10.031631 19.278076
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003600 0.262793 1.549101 4.754938 10.591331 20.512666
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001580 0.234147 1.511662 4.805498 10.900002 21.360387
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000795 0.221680 1.525372 4.965515 11.400239 22.515455
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000344 0.210438 1.540393 5.127965 11.907062 23.686993
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000040 0.184489 1.492627 5.145876 12.158629 24.456238